0xbCa82fF9891c5358b33D565C4F4739e4d812b680-1779481574004
0xbca82ff9891c5358b33d565c4f4739e4d812b680
- Realised P&L
- $-10.7k
- Volume
- $390.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $12.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.076 | $5.0k | −$2.6k |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.753 | 0.752 | $4.7k | −$4.08 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.255 | 0.190 | $1.9k | −$640.71 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.006 | $384.15 | −$1.3k |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.086 | $378.53 | −$168.37 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.011 | $34.39 | −$18.04 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.003 | $6.57 | −$127.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-42.85at 0.015Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-5.6kat 0.559Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 19:06 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.09 | $141.89 |
| 07-27 12:05 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.093 | $29.06 |
| 07-27 01:05 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.095 | $304.32 |
| 07-26 17:54 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.096 | $9.08 |
| 07-26 17:29 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.23 | $377.20 |
| 07-26 15:25 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.107 | $96.30 |
| 07-26 13:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.22 | $86.93 |
| 07-25 22:36 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.104 | $218.40 |
| 07-25 14:28 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.105 | $36.75 |
| 07-25 14:27 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.105 | $346.50 |
| 07-25 14:26 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.122 | $12.20 |
| 07-25 09:37 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.104 | $114.13 |
| 07-25 01:53 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.125 | $1.25 |
| 07-25 01:52 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.124 | $0.62 |
| 07-24 22:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.26 | $260.00 |