elliot.
0xbca799df5597232909d6982831c7ee0cef0487f6
- Realised P&L
- $-37.04
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 415
- Open portfolio
- $479.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded415
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.42at 0.082Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
- +$21.55at 0.199Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5
- +$5.83at 0.043Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?
- +$5.64at 0.154Contrexeville: Elina Avanesyan vs Alicia Herrero Linana
- +$5.64at 0.154San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 21:34 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-09 21:24 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-09 21:10 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 07-09 21:10 | Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-09 21:02 | France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.0292507003 | $0.21 |
| 07-09 20:59 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-09 20:51 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-09 20:41 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 07-09 20:40 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 07-09 20:26 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-09 18:44 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.06 |
| 07-09 16:11 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 07-09 14:59 | Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.41 |
| 07-09 14:40 | Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.37 |
| 07-09 12:53 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.33 |