R1Man
0xbca6a1083e66a3fee11b72b6742ff076b9fa384e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $632.8k
- Markets traded
- 862
- Open portfolio
- $0.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded862
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 29? · Up | 0.340 | 0.015 | $0.06 | −$1.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$996.06at 0.097Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?
- +$504.42at 0.750Ethereum Up or Down on February 18?
- +$330.41at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
- +$266.77at 0.324Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13?
- +$251.25at 0.347Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 10:00 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.3399999606 | $1.38 |
| 09-28 18:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999661 | $3.04 |
| 09-28 18:04 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 28? | SELL | 0.01 | $3.21 |
| 09-28 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $22.81 |
| 09-28 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $23.62 |
| 09-28 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5079046645 | $12.12 |
| 09-28 17:52 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 28? | SELL | 0.032 | $1.28 |
| 09-28 17:51 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 28? | SELL | 0.096354567 | $11.78 |
| 09-28 17:34 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 28? | BUY | 0.069 | $1.70 |
| 09-28 17:34 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 28? | BUY | 0.1635346564 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 05:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998628 | $1.70 |
| 09-28 05:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.23 | $3.78 |
| 09-27 20:25 | Counter-Strike: M80 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $86.30 |
| 09-27 20:00 | Counter-Strike: M80 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs | BUY | 0.45 | $7.54 |
| 09-27 19:14 | Counter-Strike: M80 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs | BUY | 0.41 | $12.67 |