PolyBot

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Traders

IndigoWalrus

0xbca2947b05034df1349ba6c08745f8929227d884

Realised P&L
$219.62
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$7.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 12:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1699999908$15.00
06-14 12:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.2$5.00
06-14 12:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
06-11 13:00Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.0797607178$5.00
06-10 14:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
06-10 14:34Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
06-05 19:54Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?BUY0.001$5.00
05-31 13:16Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?BUY0.06$3.00
05-31 13:16Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
05-31 13:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0899999985$50.00
05-22 01:13Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?BUY0.1596912636$30.00
05-22 01:13Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?SELL0.1179739355$4.57
05-22 01:12Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?SELL0.5723052788$103.97
05-21 03:21Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?BUY0.6599999834$32.53
05-20 01:51Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?BUY0.5199999931$21.00