IndigoWalrus
0xbca2947b05034df1349ba6c08745f8929227d884
- Realised P&L
- $219.62
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $7.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$503.94at 0.163Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
- +$89.16at 0.189Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.71at 0.070US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$1.56at 0.180Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
- +$1.01at 0.690Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 12:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1699999908 | $15.00 |
| 06-14 12:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 12:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 13:00 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.0797607178 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 14:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 14:34 | Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 06-05 19:54 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 13:16 | Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 05-31 13:16 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 13:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0899999985 | $50.00 |
| 05-22 01:13 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.1596912636 | $30.00 |
| 05-22 01:13 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SELL | 0.1179739355 | $4.57 |
| 05-22 01:12 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SELL | 0.5723052788 | $103.97 |
| 05-21 03:21 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BUY | 0.6599999834 | $32.53 |
| 05-20 01:51 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BUY | 0.5199999931 | $21.00 |