1winstreak1
0xbca08c1bc204a34f2fddbe47b438b9bd42ac9705
- Realised P&L
- $1.27M
- Volume
- $21.62M
- Markets traded
- 10,386
- Open portfolio
- $36.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,386
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFire · Los Angeles Sparks | 0.342 | 1.000 | $11.9k | +$7.8k |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.572 | 0.910 | $9.0k | +$3.3k |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners | 0.582 | 0.596 | $5.0k | +$113.59 |
| Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5) · Cleveland Guardians | 0.537 | 1.000 | $2.4k | +$1.1k |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) · San Diego Padres | 0.166 | 0.175 | $975.06 | +$49.39 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.858 | 0.995 | $913.84 | +$125.17 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners · Minnesota Twins | 0.266 | 0.404 | $848.00 | +$290.58 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 · Over | 0.250 | 0.625 | $767.14 | +$459.75 |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) · San Francisco Giants | 0.289 | 0.825 | $670.72 | +$435.85 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 · Under | 0.651 | 0.585 | $566.28 | −$64.43 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 · Under | 0.563 | 0.375 | $551.38 | −$276.77 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Francisco Giants | 0.202 | 0.090 | $451.57 | −$562.32 |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) · Minnesota Twins | 0.808 | 0.925 | $404.39 | +$51.16 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.603 | 0.265 | $295.48 | −$376.77 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.507 | 0.735 | $221.24 | +$68.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.6kat 0.318Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
- +$55.5kat 0.498Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$51.0kat 0.470Spread: Spain (-1.5)
- +$39.0kat 0.388Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
- +$32.3kat 0.647Spread: France (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:50 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $23.32 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1594119816 | $864.81 |
| 08-02 22:48 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.4056470588 | $34.48 |
| 08-02 22:48 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 | BUY | 0.2494117647 | $12.72 |
| 08-02 22:48 | Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7679999099 | $6.14 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.33 | $13.20 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.4578208366 | $13.74 |
| 08-02 22:46 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.66 | $7.26 |
| 08-02 22:46 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.3726470588 | $12.67 |
| 08-02 22:46 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.21 | $5.25 |
| 08-02 22:45 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.535 | $107.00 |
| 08-02 22:43 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.8577519333 | $143.08 |
| 08-02 22:43 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $23.60 |
| 08-02 22:43 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.638245614 | $72.76 |
| 08-02 22:43 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.4397196797 | $171.05 |