PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

epyep

0xbc98952c7c206d1733198f13002deb14ed94f61d

Realised P&L
$-76.04
Volume
$917.38
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$4.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2070.153$2.22−$0.78
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6700.275$2.05−$2.95
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2400.005$0.11−$4.89
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Trump say "Biden" during Tele-Rally? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$3.00
Will "No Scope" be said during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final? · Yes0.6690.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$3.00
Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main) · Bohachuk0.7300.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$2.00
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims) · Artur Minev0.3800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 20:16UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.6799999993$40.00
08-13 18:41Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6699998727$5.00
08-10 21:38Will Trump say "Biden" during Tele-Rally?BUY0.6999999767$3.00
07-24 12:04Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?SELL0.501$4.91
07-24 12:04Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.5$0.96
07-24 12:04Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL0.49$4.90
05-21 11:12Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?BUY0.68$2.00
05-21 11:08Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.52$1.00
05-21 11:07Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999796$5.00
05-21 11:07Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$5.00
05-16 21:07 MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike PerryBUY0.6199998016$3.00
05-16 21:03UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.3799999742$5.00
05-10 17:45Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)BUY0.7299999827$8.00
05-09 20:16UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY0.6499999878$16.00
05-09 20:16Will the fight be won by submission?BUY0.4$5.00