juicesol
0xbc8ceef43a5483492682d6424690261cc476bb59
- Realised P&L
- $-3.12
- Volume
- $37.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $222.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.075 | $111.79 | −$88.21 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.105 | $110.53 | −$89.47 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$450.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.11 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.25 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$765.03at 0.207Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$13.50at 0.143Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$3.68at 0.190Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$-95.06at 0.368US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$-103.76at 0.236Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 19:49 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1341782731 | $200.00 |
| 10-25 19:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $200.00 |
| 09-02 01:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $100.00 |
| 08-16 20:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $6.87 |
| 08-12 15:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $36.67 |
| 08-11 12:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 08-11 12:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $110.00 |
| 08-11 12:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 12:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999991 | $200.00 |
| 07-29 16:17 | Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2273889294 | $99.91 |
| 07-09 02:27 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.2099999984 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 02:25 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.2045653119 | $100.00 |
| 04-10 05:41 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.0130940934 | $30.00 |
| 03-24 16:54 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.1399999938 | $17.11 |
| 03-24 16:54 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $14.94 |