Florus
0xbc8bf8906d4f391ece5208e27c43327b9ec6b15e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $109.2k
- Markets traded
- 370
- Open portfolio
- $72.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded370
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$619.76at 0.233US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$159.10at 0.237Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?
- +$152.78at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
- +$110.17at 0.878Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$85.87at 0.368Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:18 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.0629999995 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 22:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $21.80 |
| 09-20 17:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999986 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 16:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1791044755 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 16:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 16:42 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 15:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 15:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 09-20 14:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BUY | 0.0179245283 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 14:02 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |