Florus
0xbc8bf8906d4f391ece5208e27c43327b9ec6b15e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $104.0k
- Markets traded
- 352
- Open portfolio
- $61.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded352
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$619.76at 0.233US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$159.10at 0.237Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?
- +$156.41at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
- +$110.17at 0.878Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$91.31at 0.354Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 00:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 21:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 15:56 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 12:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 05-30 12:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.759999998 | $30.00 |
| 05-30 12:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999971 | $30.00 |
| 05-30 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.578431365 | $30.00 |
| 05-30 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 05-30 10:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | SELL | 0.5998619783 | $36.51 |
| 05-30 10:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3624515281 | $22.06 |
| 05-30 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30? | SELL | 0.0102704505 | $1.20 |
| 05-29 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30? | BUY | 0.1144524879 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30? | BUY | 0.0955840184 | $10.00 |