PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Florus

0xbc8bf8906d4f391ece5208e27c43327b9ec6b15e

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$109.2k
Markets traded
370
Open portfolio
$72.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded370
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1180.059$20.62$20.78
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1820.384$13.81+$7.27
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.7400.930$12.57+$2.57
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.006$9.75$0.75
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5500.265$7.95$8.55
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.2800.095$4.75$9.25
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? · Yes0.3500.385$1.78+$0.16
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$0.91$1.56
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.2500.016$0.08$1.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.1340.000$0.00$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.7000.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Up0.6500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? · No0.5280.000$0.00$250.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 06:18Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.0629999995$2.00
09-20 22:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.99$15.00
09-20 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.3899999945$10.00
09-20 17:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1PM ETSELL0.97$21.80
09-20 17:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1PM ETBUY0.8899999996$20.00
09-20 17:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1PM ETBUY0.3099999986$15.00
09-20 16:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.1791044755$10.00
09-20 16:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.699999993$10.00
09-20 16:42Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.1899999998$10.00
09-20 15:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.08$5.00
09-20 15:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.2299999993$20.00
09-20 15:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.06$6.00
09-20 14:50Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?BUY0.0179245283$10.00
09-20 14:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10AM ETBUY0.2799999978$10.00
09-20 14:02Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.5599999955$10.00