PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Florus

0xbc8bf8906d4f391ece5208e27c43327b9ec6b15e

Realised P&L
$-3.9k
Volume
$104.0k
Markets traded
352
Open portfolio
$61.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded352
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9540.981$34.32+$0.93
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1820.298$10.75+$4.21
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5500.275$8.25$8.25
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.2800.095$4.75$9.25
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.004$1.45+$0.48
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? · Yes0.3500.300$1.38$0.23
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.2500.085$0.43$0.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.1340.000$0.00$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Up0.6500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? · No0.5280.000$0.00$250.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00$10.00
Will France win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.4030.000$0.00$221.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Up0.2800.000$0.00$60.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 16:03Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.6499999935$10.00
06-22 00:43Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.7599999696$5.00
06-12 21:19Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.6$10.00
05-30 15:56Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.3799999833$10.00
05-30 12:14Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.64$20.00
05-30 12:14Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.759999998$30.00
05-30 12:11Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.5399999971$30.00
05-30 12:08Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.578431365$30.00
05-30 12:05Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30?SELL0.001$0.07
05-30 10:14Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETSELL0.5998619783$36.51
05-30 10:11Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.3624515281$22.06
05-30 10:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30?SELL0.0102704505$1.20
05-29 20:11Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30?BUY0.1144524879$10.00
05-29 20:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?BUY0.85$10.00
05-29 20:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30?BUY0.0955840184$10.00