N4THN4LE
0xbc87debd0028592757f5898f55d90e705c2129c9
- Realised P&L
- $11.80
- Volume
- $124.76
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $17.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.750 | $10.51 | +$2.52 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.670 | 0.715 | $6.63 | +$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.55at 0.278Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?
- +$3.17at 0.554Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.12at 0.508Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 09:28 | Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats? | BUY | 0.5699999943 | $7.99 |
| 10-29 06:04 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6699999795 | $6.21 |
| 10-27 21:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.65 | $12.03 |
| 10-27 20:11 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.493 | $3.96 |
| 10-23 20:10 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5079999407 | $4.08 |
| 10-16 20:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299999833 | $11.66 |
| 10-16 18:45 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.84 |
| 10-15 11:43 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $3.20 |
| 10-05 06:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.817 | $10.09 |
| 09-17 11:21 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5439999637 | $6.72 |