PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

N4THN4LE

0xbc87debd0028592757f5898f55d90e705c2129c9

Realised P&L
$11.80
Volume
$124.76
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$17.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats? · Yes0.5700.750$10.51+$2.52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6700.715$6.63+$0.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 09:28Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats?BUY0.5699999943$7.99
10-29 06:042026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6699999795$6.21
10-27 21:392026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.65$12.03
10-27 20:11Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.493$3.96
10-23 20:10Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5079999407$4.08
10-16 20:102026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6299999833$11.66
10-16 18:45Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?SELL0.999$11.84
10-15 11:43Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?BUY0.2699999966$3.20
10-05 06:36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.817$10.09
09-17 11:21Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5439999637$6.72