PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbc7c8c3d6c487dc27f31e2e34e9483c24a8cc355

Realised P&L
$252.75
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$521.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4970.585$466.74+$70.41
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0810.053$54.71$28.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 20:36Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6?BUY0.5$227.64
09-01 19:28Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 August 31-September 6?BUY0.389999998$114.67
08-25 10:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25?BUY0.28$4.55
08-24 23:44Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30?BUY0.465939706$16.41
08-24 21:10Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30?BUY0.5$74.56
08-24 20:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25?BUY0.2599999984$105.40
08-24 20:41Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?SELL0.017$15.80
08-21 09:46Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?BUY0.020999999$19.52
08-21 09:00Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5299999991$71.33
08-21 08:50Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999993$325.00
08-21 08:47Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?BUY0.7427089972$145.55
08-21 00:30Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?BUY0.4106949257$239.08
08-19 22:35Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?BUY0.4659999962$56.85
08-19 22:30Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?BUY0.4819999979$61.81
08-04 14:40Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.2699999953$33.36