0xbc7c8c3d6c487dc27f31e2e34e9483c24a8cc355
- Realised P&L
- $252.75
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $521.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.497 | 0.585 | $466.74 | +$70.41 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.053 | $54.71 | −$28.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$332.00at 0.430Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
- +$173.89at 0.409Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 August 31-September 6?
- +$164.36at 0.155Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$126.61at 0.494Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
- +$104.07at 0.305Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 20:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $227.64 |
| 09-01 19:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.389999998 | $114.67 |
| 08-25 10:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.55 |
| 08-24 23:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.465939706 | $16.41 |
| 08-24 21:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.5 | $74.56 |
| 08-24 20:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.2599999984 | $105.40 |
| 08-24 20:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | SELL | 0.017 | $15.80 |
| 08-21 09:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.020999999 | $19.52 |
| 08-21 09:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999991 | $71.33 |
| 08-21 08:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999993 | $325.00 |
| 08-21 08:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7427089972 | $145.55 |
| 08-21 00:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? | BUY | 0.4106949257 | $239.08 |
| 08-19 22:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.4659999962 | $56.85 |
| 08-19 22:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.4819999979 | $61.81 |
| 08-04 14:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2699999953 | $33.36 |