PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ooosld

0xbc7784909be34791c5c298833d66c3a6f15e66ff

Realised P&L
$-58.95
Volume
$20.9k
Markets traded
801
Open portfolio
$0.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded801
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1700.095$0.56−$0.44
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 · Under0.4800.000$0.00−$5.81
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 · HANJIN BRION0.0670.000$0.00−$4.15
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner · PARIVISION0.3060.000$0.00−$6.85
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner · Deep Cross Gaming0.3500.000$0.00−$5.25
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream · Phoenix Mercury0.6100.000$0.00−$6.04
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) · Thunder0.6500.000$0.00−$3.25
Will SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles · Tampa Bay Rays0.5100.000$0.00−$2.54
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners · Arizona Diamondbacks0.1700.000$0.00−$2.55
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Deiveson Figueiredo0.1100.000$0.00−$3.85
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) · HANJIN BRION0.3430.000$0.00−$5.95
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner · Anyone's Legend0.6500.000$0.00−$3.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:20Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$1.05
09-17 06:19Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.076$1.23
07-03 06:26Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.76$1.09
06-30 08:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.236$1.51
06-30 08:08Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?SELL0.524$3.80
06-30 08:08Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?SELL0.063$1.08
06-30 08:08Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?SELL0.066$1.11
06-30 07:44Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.992$1.02
06-30 07:44Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.973$1.13
06-30 07:44Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.887$1.06
06-30 07:44Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?SELL0.99$1.30
06-30 07:44GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?SELL0.76$1.36
06-30 07:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?SELL0.997$1.83
06-30 07:44Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.943$2.81
06-30 07:43Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.998$3.68