0xbc74d72eb7813bbf1e0468c1a49d055392af207c
0xbc74d72eb7813bbf1e0468c1a49d055392af207c
- Realised P&L
- $14.04
- Volume
- $155.30
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $20.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus: Trevor Svajda vs Andres Andrade · Trevor Svajda | 0.500 | 0.615 | $11.71 | +$2.19 |
| Columbus: Dylan Dietrich vs J.J. Wolf · J.J. Wolf | 0.630 | 0.675 | $8.44 | +$0.56 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves · No | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.38 |
| DeVonta Smith: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.94 |
| Columbus: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Li Tu · Li Tu | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.25at 0.500Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck
- +$8.00at 0.472Columbus: Braden Shick vs Ozan Baris
- +$6.91at 0.592China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea
- +$5.30at 0.650Carole Monnet vs. Cagla Buyukakcay: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- +$4.09at 0.500Hurkacz vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 17:17 | Columbus: Dylan Dietrich vs J.J. Wolf | BUY | 0.6299999752 | $7.88 |
| 09-29 16:36 | Carole Monnet vs. Cagla Buyukakcay: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $15.12 |
| 09-29 16:35 | Columbus: Raphael Perot vs Daniil Ostapenkov | SELL | 0.999 | $6.88 |
| 09-29 14:50 | Columbus: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Li Tu | BUY | 0.71 | $14.79 |
| 09-29 14:35 | Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck | SELL | 0.94 | $17.73 |
| 09-29 13:02 | Hurkacz vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $8.18 |
| 09-29 02:37 | China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea | BUY | 0.5799999953 | $9.83 |
| 09-28 22:46 | Columbus: Braden Shick vs Ozan Baris | SELL | 0.87 | $17.74 |
| 09-28 22:20 | Columbus: Braden Shick vs Ozan Baris | BUY | 0.46 | $9.38 |