PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBC72ed26EAf72E9DCB5EB9880c65a939E4D2151C-1761284038151

0xbc72ed26eaf72e9dcb5eb9880c65a939e4d2151c

Realised P&L
$152.71
Volume
$837.12
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$73.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar18.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 22? · Yes0.1830.255$27.79+$7.79
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1300.175$26.92+$6.92
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2800.265$18.93−$1.07
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on November 29? · No0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 11:31Will Tesla say "Cybertruck" during earnings call?BUY0.3275862069$38.00
10-21 11:24Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 22?BUY0.1835181387$20.00
10-21 11:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.1299999999$20.00
10-21 11:16Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2799999978$20.00
01-01 13:43Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?SELL0.997$62.31
11-30 21:15Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on December 1?BUY0.6799999946$20.00
11-29 13:55Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 29?SELL0.6$15.19
11-29 09:42Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on November 29?BUY0.02$1.00
11-29 09:41Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 29?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
11-29 09:09Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?SELL0.974$30.61
11-29 09:07Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?SELL0.91$4.83
11-28 07:13Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?BUY0.32$20.00
11-28 04:26Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 28?BUY0.599999994$20.00
11-28 04:26Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 28?BUY0.8$20.00
11-28 04:22Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.9399999962$5.00