xtetatetmaxi
0xbc6ea1555a3f6c2d61023b7d195f2cf1397abff4
- Realised P&L
- $15.58
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $82.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.952 | 0.993 | $29.77 | +$1.22 |
| Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.933 | $27.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.963 | 0.977 | $20.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.255 | $4.66 | −$10.34 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 14-20? · Yes | 0.436 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.50at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 4?
- +$16.18at 0.830Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$13.92at 0.732Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
- +$13.74at 0.726Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
- +$12.62at 0.734Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 19:02 | Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $27.00 |
| 08-15 19:01 | Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9629999957 | $20.00 |
| 08-15 18:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.819999977 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 12:51 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 14-20? | BUY | 0.4359641256 | $20.00 |
| 05-02 13:08 | Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.964999978 | $20.00 |
| 05-02 13:06 | Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9519999665 | $20.00 |
| 05-02 13:05 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.9759999997 | $26.00 |
| 04-26 14:19 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9729999775 | $26.03 |
| 04-21 09:29 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $24.96 |
| 04-19 13:35 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.9459999991 | $23.65 |
| 04-14 08:05 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9659999987 | $22.93 |
| 04-09 20:40 | Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9689999995 | $38.31 |
| 04-09 20:29 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999991 | $19.88 |
| 04-09 20:28 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9539999988 | $21.90 |
| 04-09 20:27 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |