PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lillimaker

0xbc6e0de34741c25ce88320344ecd617f5f03829a

Realised P&L
$-7.96
Volume
$319.72
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$4.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 2? · Yes0.3600.480$2.67+$0.67
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31? · Yes0.4200.415$1.98−$0.02
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 13? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin above $114K on September 10? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00−$4.00
Ethereum above $3,600 on July 25? · No0.0300.000$0.00−$2.25
Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on July 25? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:28Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 2?SELL0.367$1.60
11-02 00:19Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?BUY0.419999979$2.00
11-01 22:29Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 2?BUY0.4589999447$2.00
11-01 22:29Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 2?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
09-12 00:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 12?BUY0.8699999983$5.00
09-10 14:46Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 13?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
09-10 12:59Bitcoin above $114K on September 10?BUY0.1779999643$4.00
07-25 23:23Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?BUY0.32$1.00
07-25 23:21Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
07-25 23:20Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?BUY0.7599998024$2.00
07-25 15:04Ethereum above $3,600 on July 25?SELL0.1$2.50
07-25 14:47Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on July 25?BUY0.1099999521$2.00
07-25 14:15Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?BUY0.0090000001$1.00
07-25 14:12Ethereum above $3,600 on July 25?BUY0.03$3.00