marlin5
0xbc6b26c9129f7d07086b9651232453dfb69d34e6
- Realised P&L
- $-120.15
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $3.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · Yes | 0.553 | 0.018 | $1.47 | −$42.52 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.024 | $1.36 | −$24.14 |
| Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? · No | 0.880 | 1.000 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-11? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-09? · Yes | 0.687 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.67 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? · Yes | 0.377 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.38 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner · Carlos Alcaraz | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.63at 0.508Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?
- +$23.22at 0.732Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?
- +$21.54at 0.728Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?
- +$18.90at 0.741Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?
- +$10.75at 0.614Bulls vs. Wizards
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 04:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $10.00 |
| 04-17 04:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.01 |
| 04-17 04:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $15.00 |
| 04-17 04:24 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | SELL | 0.43 | $7.82 |
| 04-12 20:59 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12? | SELL | 0.999 | $43.37 |
| 04-12 20:43 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12? | BUY | 0.96 | $41.63 |
| 04-12 20:41 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12? | SELL | 0.999 | $36.54 |
| 04-12 20:40 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.977 | $5.19 |
| 04-12 20:28 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12? | BUY | 0.979999994 | $35.83 |
| 04-12 13:14 | Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $4.84 |
| 04-11 18:22 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? | SELL | 0.9954973796 | $39.89 |
| 04-11 17:54 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? | BUY | 0.8970033192 | $8.94 |
| 04-11 17:53 | Human moon landing in 2026? | SELL | 0.957 | $9.99 |
| 04-11 17:01 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? | BUY | 0.9599999867 | $28.83 |
| 04-11 15:22 | Carlos Alcaraz vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $8.39 |