PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ot1234

0xbc6976f7ac7a7cc6f816461fa4f4c1e0cfe28fca

Realised P&L
$-29.83
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
198
Open portfolio
$15.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded198
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government? · Yes0.5700.540$8.10−$0.45
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government? · No0.4100.450$6.75+$0.60
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government? · Yes0.3900.330$0.85−$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 13:54Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-10 13:52Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.57$8.55
10-10 13:52Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.41$6.15
07-29 21:01Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?BUY0.9139999923$5.00
05-30 16:34Netanyahu out by June 30?SELL0.961$1.08
03-24 14:49Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
03-24 14:48Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.889999911$1.00
03-24 14:47Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.7399999674$5.00
03-24 14:46Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?BUY0.91$1.00
01-19 11:38Will Israel strike Gaza on January 18, 2026?BUY0.9769997815$3.00
01-19 11:36Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?BUY0.9379999899$5.00
01-19 11:35Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?BUY0.9$1.00
01-19 11:33US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?BUY0.9199998283$3.00
12-20 13:14Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?BUY0.9$2.00
12-20 13:13Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?BUY0.9299999814$2.00