bigbaldfroghead
0xbc644eeeea2cbbb90a5b75f7a15c8b9ecf58b3ff
- Realised P&L
- $-257.36
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $294.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.075 | $181.90 | −$152.72 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.203 | 0.105 | $112.14 | −$104.64 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-16 17:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.21 | $1.68 |
| 01-16 17:00 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.21 | $65.10 |
| 01-16 14:37 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $270.62 |
| 01-16 07:48 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.2 | $150.00 |
| 01-16 04:32 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $64.00 |