strauss
0xbc54efc33d69c1c07aa7def58b838be1e6dd23c1
- Realised P&L
- $69.91
- Volume
- $86.7k
- Markets traded
- 333
- Open portfolio
- $31.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded333
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.011 | $23.00 | +$17.00 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.041 | $6.88 | −$3.31 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.085 | $0.78 | −$3.80 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.004 | $0.35 | −$1.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$282.43at 0.010Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
- +$100.65at 0.537Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
- +$96.12at 0.096Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$84.58at 0.202Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
- +$51.28at 0.395Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 18:19 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.58 |
| 05-25 18:18 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $4.59 |
| 03-24 23:54 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.59 |
| 03-24 23:54 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.00 |
| 03-24 23:53 | Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | SELL | 0.0011789504 | $0.04 |
| 03-24 23:45 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.55 |
| 03-23 11:54 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | BUY | 0.2099999169 | $1.77 |
| 03-03 21:18 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.7689999798 | $1.33 |
| 03-03 21:17 | Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.00720012 | $0.72 |
| 03-03 21:17 | Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.61 |
| 03-01 23:35 | Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | BUY | 0.1799999536 | $2.87 |
| 03-01 23:34 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.012 | $2.40 |
| 03-01 15:19 | Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $2.66 |
| 03-01 15:19 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $3.01 |
| 03-01 11:18 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $84.83 |