PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

strauss

0xbc54efc33d69c1c07aa7def58b838be1e6dd23c1

Realised P&L
$69.91
Volume
$86.7k
Markets traded
333
Open portfolio
$31.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded333
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.011$23.00+$17.00
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0600.041$6.88−$3.31
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5000.085$0.78−$3.80
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.004$0.35−$1.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-25 18:19US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.5$4.58
05-25 18:18Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$4.59
03-24 23:54Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.007$2.59
03-24 23:54Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.007$2.00
03-24 23:53Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?SELL0.0011789504$0.04
03-24 23:45Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?SELL0.54$4.55
03-23 11:54Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?BUY0.2099999169$1.77
03-03 21:18Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.7689999798$1.33
03-03 21:17Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.00720012$0.72
03-03 21:17Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL0.038$0.61
03-01 23:35Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY0.1799999536$2.87
03-01 23:34Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.012$2.40
03-01 15:19Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.008$2.66
03-01 15:19Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.009$3.01
03-01 11:18Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.998$84.83