vdm4
0xbc5173ffc1b543b2b7dca22831216fd662afd39a
- Realised P&L
- $7.99
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 285
- Open portfolio
- $3.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded285
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.390 | 0.505 | $3.88 | +$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.86at 0.280Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer
- +$10.15at 0.330Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer
- +$8.53at 0.100Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 2 FC Bayern München?
- +$8.51at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$8.42at 0.373Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 16:59 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3899999558 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 18:22 | Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.64 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 19:13 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.5799999265 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 18:36 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 17:32 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.609999939 | $3.00 |
| 07-26 12:09 | Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 12:07 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4299999298 | $3.00 |
| 07-26 06:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 17:13 | Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 18:37 | Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.5299999505 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 16:56 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 19:27 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 19:26 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2524999396 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 19:25 | Declan Rice: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 19:24 | Noni Madueke: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |