vdm4
0xbc5173ffc1b543b2b7dca22831216fd662afd39a
- Realised P&L
- $-28.63
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 317
- Open portfolio
- $10.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded317
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.860 | $4.87 | +$1.87 |
| Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) · Golden Knights | 0.480 | 0.505 | $3.16 | +$0.16 |
| Panthers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.620 | 0.585 | $2.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.47at 0.286Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer
- +$9.85at 0.337Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer
- +$8.93at 0.256Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$8.50at 0.103Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 2 FC Bayern München?
- +$8.29at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 13:49 | Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 13:48 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 13:47 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 13:46 | Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 13:45 | Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 13:44 | Panthers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 09:20 | Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 09:17 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 13:53 | Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 13:51 | Canadiens vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 13:50 | Kraken vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 14:00 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 13:59 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 13:55 | Capitals vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 13:54 | Rangers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $3.00 |