PolyBot

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Traders

Cryptohunter

0xbc4f9a739088514aa39c400b14ff0a769bd9f3df

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$110.1k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$838.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 09:18Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?SELL0.6290937611$106.28
07-07 05:55Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?SELL0.732$73.20
07-06 06:13Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?SELL0.709459542$92.94
07-01 10:28Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.057999954$1.25
06-23 10:16Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?BUY0.2368803207$94.74
06-08 09:43Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?BUY0.0279999994$46.84
04-28 05:17Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.11$29.70
04-28 05:17Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.022$20.00
04-28 05:16Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0370651412$20.00
04-28 05:16Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$10.00
04-28 05:16Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$10.00
04-28 05:16Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$10.00
01-22 08:06Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.05$249.49
01-20 11:15Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?BUY0.0159675234$99.95
01-19 16:53Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?BUY0.0089949992$97.94