0xbc490f69B92C0F960Aa33fb553765c1e8F2D0AB3-1779815095565
0xbc490f69b92c0f960aa33fb553765c1e8f2d0ab3
- Realised P&L
- $-80.39
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 475
- Open portfolio
- $9.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded475
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AlloX launch a token by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.270 | $4.10 | −$3.04 |
| Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? · No | 0.790 | 0.800 | $3.46 | +$0.04 |
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · No | 0.506 | 0.484 | $1.29 | −$0.06 |
| Will FC Schalke 04 be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? · No | 0.570 | 0.615 | $0.69 | +$0.05 |
| Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.63 |
| New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bengals vs. Texans · Texans | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Chargers (-3.5) · Chargers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.29at 0.632CF América vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to Score
- +$12.48at 0.808Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?
- +$12.19at 0.759UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$10.86at 0.651Burnley FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score
- +$9.87at 0.827CF Pachuca vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:19 | Will Radiohead headline Coachella 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.48 |
| 11-01 16:03 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 11-01 12:12 | Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.18 |
| 11-01 08:13 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 11-01 07:01 | Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 18:27 | 1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 10-30 21:29 | All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 10-30 20:10 | Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.31 | $3.91 |
| 10-30 20:10 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $318,000 and $323,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.303 | $6.06 |
| 10-30 19:04 | Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31? | SELL | 0.0675 | $1.35 |
| 10-30 08:39 | Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.173875 | $1.39 |
| 10-30 07:44 | Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 10-29 20:15 | EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.53 |
| 10-29 20:15 | Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.56 |
| 10-28 12:32 | Will Lamar Jackson have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.21 |