0xbc46258282e2783673defcfcec813fc185813281
0xbc46258282e2783673defcfcec813fc185813281
- Realised P&L
- $-182.31
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $75.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.55at 0.357Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
- +$17.00at 0.150Pelicans vs. Spurs
- +$12.30at 0.180Raptors vs. Thunder
- +$8.50at 0.830Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$8.40at 0.580Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the State of the Union address?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-29 00:25 | Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.35 |
| 01-28 21:27 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | BUY | 0.66 | $38.28 |
| 01-28 21:26 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | BUY | 0.65 | $19.50 |
| 01-28 21:06 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | BUY | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 01-28 21:01 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | BUY | 0.67 | $21.44 |
| 01-28 20:04 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | BUY | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 01-28 20:02 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 01-28 20:01 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | BUY | 0.68 | $9.52 |
| 01-28 17:23 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | BUY | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 01-28 17:20 | Will Doechii perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 01-28 17:18 | Will Doechii perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.12 |
| 01-28 17:18 | Will Doechii perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards? | BUY | 0.39 | $4.29 |
| 01-28 17:17 | Will Doechii perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards? | BUY | 0.39 | $6.24 |
| 01-28 16:37 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.73 |
| 01-28 04:02 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.62 | $13.64 |