PolyBot

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Traders

0xbc46258282e2783673defcfcec813fc185813281

0xbc46258282e2783673defcfcec813fc185813281

Realised P&L
$-182.31
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$75.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.6110.915$34.43+$11.46
Blue tsunami in 2026? · No0.6800.460$29.90−$14.29
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? · No0.7600.929$11.15+$2.03
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0900.041$0.41−$0.49
Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.002$0.02−$1.02
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$2.35
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$3.30
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) · Thunder0.4800.000$0.00−$4.80
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season? · No0.8300.000$0.00−$5.81
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$10.20
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes0.3420.000$0.00−$41.82
Warriors vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$25.50
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year? · Yes0.4130.000$0.00−$2.06
Will Doechii perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$15.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-29 00:25Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.89$13.35
01-28 21:27Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?BUY0.66$38.28
01-28 21:26Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?BUY0.65$19.50
01-28 21:06Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?BUY0.66$33.00
01-28 21:01Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?BUY0.67$21.44
01-28 20:04Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?BUY0.68$34.00
01-28 20:02Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?BUY0.68$13.60
01-28 20:01Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?BUY0.68$9.52
01-28 17:23Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?BUY0.51$25.50
01-28 17:20Will Doechii perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?BUY0.39$1.95
01-28 17:18Will Doechii perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?BUY0.39$3.12
01-28 17:18Will Doechii perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?BUY0.39$4.29
01-28 17:17Will Doechii perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?BUY0.39$6.24
01-28 16:37Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?BUY0.43$4.73
01-28 04:02Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.62$13.64