Guillenalma
0xbc4603e159e0f4cb6d4fe0e56b9b275b4bd8b909
- Realised P&L
- $-8.16
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $19.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.02at 0.130Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals
- +$6.25at 0.444New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$5.38at 0.620Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
- +$4.08at 0.550Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
- +$4.06at 0.520Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 19:34 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.77 |
| 08-06 11:57 | Will Trump say "China" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 11:46 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.0527101338 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 01:52 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | SELL | 0.58 | $1.87 |
| 08-06 01:42 | Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.47 |
| 08-06 01:41 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 01:20 | Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox | SELL | 0.957 | $8.85 |
| 08-06 00:09 | Boston Red Sox winning after 5 innings? | SELL | 0.75 | $5.35 |
| 08-05 20:09 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | SELL | 0.95 | $5.59 |
| 08-05 18:39 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 14:45 | Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 14:44 | Boston Red Sox winning after 5 innings? | BUY | 0.4199999272 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 02:47 | Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 02:43 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | SELL | 0.78 | $2.49 |
| 08-05 02:07 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.4699998872 | $1.50 |