0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
0xbc43c8bfbc4d77c2fc9011adad38ba43b88996d3
- Realised P&L
- $-942.2k
- Volume
- $19.50M
- Markets traded
- 471
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded471
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · Miomir Kecmanovic | 0.680 | 0.595 | $2.0k | −$281.74 |
| Spread: Packers (-4.5) · Falcons | 0.490 | 0.495 | $1.0k | +$10.36 |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) · Giants | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.7k |
| Spread: Jets (-7.5) · Jets | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.8k |
| Plovdiv 4: Filip Misolic vs Sebastian Gima · Filip Misolic | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska · Eva Lys | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Rennes: Adrian Mannarino vs Matisse Bobichon · Adrian Mannarino | 0.815 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.3k |
| Colts vs. Chiefs · Colts | 0.285 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$114.0k |
| Valencia: Berfu Cengiz vs Guiomar Maristany · Berfu Cengiz | 0.288 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) · Manchester United FC | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.6k |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? · Yes | 0.369 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.5k |
| Valencia: Joelle Steur vs Charo Esquiva · Charo Esquiva | 0.217 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) · Manchester United FC | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.4k |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) · Jets | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.3k |
| Genoa 2: Dali Blanch vs Matthew William Donald · Matthew William Donald | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$413.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$244.0kat 0.390Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$190.0kat 0.472England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
- +$151.2kat 0.39049ers vs. Rams
- +$118.3kat 0.490Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?
- +$110.6kat 0.581Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 01:57 | Spread: Packers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $68.40 |
| 09-23 11:22 | Chengdu Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | BUY | 0.68 | $2.1k |
| 09-23 08:01 | Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet | BUY | 0.51 | $80.94 |
| 09-23 07:31 | Genoa 2: Dali Blanch vs Matthew William Donald | BUY | 0.39 | $8.91 |
| 09-22 07:50 | Plovdiv 4: Filip Jianu vs Ivan Ivanov | BUY | 0.58 | $911.49 |
| 09-22 01:55 | Spread: Rams (-17.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $4.5k |
| 09-22 01:55 | Spread: Rams (-17.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $4.6k |
| 09-21 21:11 | Spread: Rams (-7.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $2.3k |
| 09-21 08:44 | Genoa 2: Ryan Nijboer vs Alejandro Juan Mano | BUY | 0.68 | $676.19 |
| 09-21 08:13 | Genoa 2: Maximo Zeitune vs Federico Iannaccone | BUY | 0.59 | $76.70 |
| 09-21 08:01 | Genoa 2: Ryan Nijboer vs Alejandro Juan Mano | BUY | 0.7 | $1.2k |
| 09-21 07:57 | San Diego 2: Ozan Baris vs Alex Rybakov | BUY | 0.57 | $56.99 |
| 09-21 07:54 | San Diego 2: Ozan Baris vs Alex Rybakov | BUY | 0.59 | $439.55 |
| 09-20 20:09 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.61 | $3.9k |
| 09-20 20:00 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.4 | $1.8k |