0xbc42816d3be0cf9effde3cbb45150e00f8abb12c
0xbc42816d3be0cf9effde3cbb45150e00f8abb12c
- Realised P&L
- $11.1k
- Volume
- $514.6k
- Markets traded
- 7,526
- Open portfolio
- $239.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded7,526
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$539.99at 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$490.51at 0.428Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$415.29at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$399.69at 0.088Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$385.20at 0.422Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 10-05 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.76 |
| 10-05 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 10-05 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.54 |
| 10-05 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-05 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 10-05 14:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 10-05 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 10-05 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.25 |
| 10-05 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.59 | $27.32 |
| 10-05 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.25434 | $1.27 |
| 10-05 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.2496 | $1.25 |
| 10-05 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.67 |
| 10-05 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.54 |
| 10-05 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |