PolyBot

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Traders

0xbc42816d3be0cf9effde3cbb45150e00f8abb12c

0xbc42816d3be0cf9effde3cbb45150e00f8abb12c

Realised P&L
$11.1k
Volume
$514.6k
Markets traded
7,526
Open portfolio
$239.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded7,526
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 6? · No0.7000.725$38.55+$1.33
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6? · Yes0.5890.655$36.88+$3.71
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 5? · No0.6660.680$14.25+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 5? · No0.8890.941$12.17+$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 7? · Yes0.3760.380$7.95+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 6? · No0.7900.865$7.94+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 7? · No0.7300.705$7.05−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 7? · No0.6200.670$6.47+$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 7? · Yes0.3970.385$6.47−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 6? · No0.6300.645$6.45+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 7? · Yes0.4100.445$6.35+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6? · Yes0.5500.560$5.71+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 7? · Yes0.4320.375$5.63−$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 6? · Yes0.2580.310$5.58+$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 7? · Yes0.2950.275$5.41−$0.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 15:42Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 6?BUY0.56$2.80
10-05 15:15Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 7?BUY0.32$3.76
10-05 15:13Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 6?BUY0.22$1.10
10-05 15:12Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 7?BUY0.26$1.54
10-05 15:01Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 7?BUY0.28$1.40
10-05 15:01Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7?BUY0.27$1.35
10-05 14:49Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?BUY0.59$2.95
10-05 14:48Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?BUY0.58$2.90
10-05 14:47Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 6?BUY0.79$7.25
10-05 14:47Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 6?BUY0.59$27.32
10-05 14:47Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7?BUY0.25434$1.27
10-05 14:47Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 7?BUY0.2496$1.25
10-05 14:47Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 5?BUY0.55$4.67
10-05 14:47Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 7?BUY0.46$2.54
10-05 14:31Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 6?BUY0.36$1.80