leo-test-3
0xbc3b264710370948743a223b017dc856c49eaf60
- Realised P&L
- $-195.18
- Volume
- $47.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,389
- Open portfolio
- $6.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,389
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.175 | $1.61 | +$0.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.145 | $1.52 | +$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.145 | $1.33 | −$0.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 2? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.130 | $1.19 | −$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.075 | $0.69 | −$0.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 1? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.030 | $0.30 | −$0.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 30? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.90at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30?
- +$8.81at 0.855XRP Up or Down - August 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$8.41at 0.917Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
- +$5.11at 0.916Dogecoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$4.44at 0.927XRP Up or Down - August 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.73 |
| 10-01 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.64 |
| 10-01 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.46 |
| 10-01 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.78 |
| 10-01 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.68 |
| 10-01 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.64 |
| 10-01 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.64 |
| 10-01 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.46 |
| 10-01 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.78 |
| 10-01 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.74 |
| 09-29 20:59 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.065 | $0.32 |
| 09-29 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.49 |
| 09-29 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.60 |
| 09-29 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.83 |
| 09-29 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.34 |