p33ks
0xbc31a305cebe4c9cd0574c5cd170c8991ac34a51
- Realised P&L
- $-19.1k
- Volume
- $2.57M
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $11.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. 49ers · 49ers | 0.780 | 0.775 | $10.2k | −$66.01 |
| Oregon vs. USC: O/U 62.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.465 | $1.1k | −$35.16 |
| Falcons vs. Packers · Packers | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.4k |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.0k |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies · Chicago Cubs | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
| Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff · Alexander Bublik | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.8k |
| Celtics vs. 76ers · Celtics | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.00 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.2k |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.8k |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers | 0.615 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.3k |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.3k |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.9kat 0.402Texas State vs. Southern Miss
- +$14.2kat 0.64049ers vs. Cardinals
- +$10.0kat 0.480Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
- +$9.0kat 0.730Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$7.9kat 0.560Utah vs. Maple Leafs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 19:19 | Cardinals vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.78 | $10.3k |
| 09-24 17:56 | Oregon vs. USC: O/U 62.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $1.1k |
| 09-22 21:03 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.72 | $3.4k |
| 09-21 23:03 | Cam Skattebo: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.5899999998 | $738.00 |
| 09-21 22:53 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.7299999999 | $3.4k |
| 06-16 22:56 | Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.61 | $8.0k |
| 06-16 22:54 | Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.58 | $5.0k |
| 06-16 22:51 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.61 | $8.0k |
| 06-14 18:46 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.6899999999 | $575.00 |
| 06-14 02:24 | Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.77 | $2.9k |
| 06-13 17:29 | Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.6 | $9.4k |
| 06-11 23:45 | Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.59 | $9.3k |
| 06-11 12:25 | Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $1.8k |
| 06-11 12:11 | Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.54 | $4.7k |
| 06-11 12:11 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.5599999999 | $3.3k |