Joleen1544
0xbc2b11426abc01e11d9bbd75b398f9d1664cb91f
- Realised P&L
- $-536.66
- Volume
- $73.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,084
- Open portfolio
- $396.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,084
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$494.04at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$378.58at 0.395Will Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 8)?
- +$376.97at 0.260Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?
- +$280.06at 0.319Will anyone say "Pillow" during Big Brother E2?
- +$249.61at 0.306Will MrBeast's next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 19:14 | Will "The Seemingly Perfect Family" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.03120004 | $1.56 |
| 09-21 16:23 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 52 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-21 16:23 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 54 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.96 |
| 09-21 15:59 | Will "The Seemingly Perfect Family" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.687 | $20.61 |
| 09-21 15:57 | Will "The Seemingly Perfect Family" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.686 | $34.30 |
| 09-21 04:57 | Will Harrison Butker be the highest-scoring K in Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 09-21 04:46 | Will Brandon Aubrey be the highest-scoring K in Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 04:45 | Will Harrison Butker be the highest-scoring K in Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.36 | $16.20 |
| 09-21 04:21 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 45 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 03:43 | Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 57.5 | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 03:41 | Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 57.5 | BUY | 0.8457711411 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 03:24 | Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 57.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 09-21 03:08 | Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 59.5 | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 09-21 03:07 | Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 61.5 | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 03:03 | Will Jonathan Taylor be the highest-scoring RB in Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |