0xbc29b9e3a4c89d55c8a0629008ccaece830eb3b6
0xbc29b9e3a4c89d55c8a0629008ccaece830eb3b6
- Realised P&L
- $166.25
- Volume
- $72.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,924
- Open portfolio
- $184.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,924
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.05at 0.500Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$97.27at 0.153Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?
- +$73.80at 0.200Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
- +$69.99at 0.472Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?
- +$66.93at 0.196Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.13 |
| 09-25 01:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.554 | $3.60 |
| 09-24 16:24 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.03 |
| 09-22 10:35 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $6.18 |
| 09-21 18:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.9911580217 | $32.87 |
| 09-21 15:48 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.66 |
| 09-21 13:53 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $5.94 |
| 09-20 18:02 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.66 | $7.74 |
| 09-20 10:51 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.69 | $14.34 |
| 09-19 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.63 |
| 09-18 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 09-18 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.81 | $48.51 |
| 09-18 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.25 |
| 09-18 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6085308618 | $30.86 |