0xBc245598F60A0C2459A136E77FCeC12f50D8FA89-1768820501647
0xbc245598f60a0c2459a136e77fcec12f50d8fa89
- Realised P&L
- $-1.99
- Volume
- $412.44
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 73°F or below on September 30? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.01at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.151Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.211Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-03 07:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $0.99 |
| 02-03 06:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $0.99 |
| 02-03 06:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |