PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xiaoguai1

0xbc1c848d515f209ad177eda0e1cc606072c0545a

Realised P&L
$-202.77
Volume
$44.8k
Markets traded
221
Open portfolio
$138.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded221
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? · Yes0.4830.960$54.46+$27.06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21? · Yes0.4600.510$50.20+$4.92
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21? · Yes0.3390.345$30.02+$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? · Yes0.5430.035$3.38$49.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 20? · Yes0.2320.004$0.14$8.21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 28? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$43.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 31? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$23.94
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 16? · Yes0.2340.000$0.00$32.83
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 26? · Yes0.2820.000$0.00$10.82
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on August 7? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$3.74
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5? · Yes0.4590.000$0.00$2.71
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 20? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 11? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$16.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 4? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$7.62
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 6? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$2.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 06:37Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.3394253534$29.53
09-20 05:29Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?SELL0.17$0.85
09-20 02:25Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.19$1.52
09-20 00:52Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.59$21.29
09-19 14:58Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.46$45.28
09-19 11:27Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?SELL0.999$100.13
09-19 06:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.526$52.60
09-19 04:51Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.24$4.52
09-19 04:49Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.37$9.06
09-19 04:23Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.31$5.58
09-18 14:50Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.6694453304$96.55
09-18 13:08Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?SELL0.999$103.59
09-18 02:03Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18?SELL0.05$2.50
09-18 00:14Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.104216$2.61
09-17 23:31Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.54$2.70