xiaoguai1
0xbc1c848d515f209ad177eda0e1cc606072c0545a
- Realised P&L
- $-202.77
- Volume
- $44.8k
- Markets traded
- 221
- Open portfolio
- $138.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded221
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.29at 0.054Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?
- +$156.71at 0.343Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 1?
- +$117.39at 0.225Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 13?
- +$111.64at 0.384Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 24?
- +$110.36at 0.289Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.3394253534 | $29.53 |
| 09-20 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 09-20 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.52 |
| 09-20 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.59 | $21.29 |
| 09-19 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.46 | $45.28 |
| 09-19 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.13 |
| 09-19 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.526 | $52.60 |
| 09-19 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.52 |
| 09-19 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.37 | $9.06 |
| 09-19 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.31 | $5.58 |
| 09-18 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6694453304 | $96.55 |
| 09-18 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $103.59 |
| 09-18 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 09-18 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.104216 | $2.61 |
| 09-17 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |