Marcusbd
0xbc1c4dc4c9e511a2092f31f2a0d2187a5cad17d9
- Realised P&L
- $-458.30
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 493
- Open portfolio
- $6.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded493
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.26at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$26.52at 0.404Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$16.01at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
- +$15.46at 0.397Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
- +$10.57at 0.081Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:52 | Spread: CA Central Córdoba (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:42 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 18:37 | Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:11 | Will Jagiellonia Bialystok win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 18:49 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 18:17 | Montenegro vs. Armenia: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 18:24 | Netherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:29 | Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:11 | Spread: AC Goianiense (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:37 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 18:32 | Seattle Sounders FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 17:21 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.10 |
| 09-23 07:29 | Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 16:07 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $3.73 |
| 09-22 15:38 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |