PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Marcusbd

0xbc1c4dc4c9e511a2092f31f2a0d2187a5cad17d9

Realised P&L
$-458.30
Volume
$28.5k
Markets traded
493
Open portfolio
$6.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded493
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3501.000$2.86+$1.86
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.3700.585$1.58+$0.58
Spread: CA Central Córdoba (-1.5) · Estudiantes de La Plata0.9000.900$1.00+$0.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.1500.045$0.60−$1.40
Will Jagiellonia Bialystok win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.3700.001$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 28? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$11.00
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova · Liudmila Samsonova0.4700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 28? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$1.00
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5 · Under0.3900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · LGD Gaming0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 29? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.8480.000$0.00−$36.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 19:52Spread: CA Central Córdoba (-1.5)BUY0.9$1.00
10-10 19:42Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-10 18:37Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 2.5BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-10 17:11Will Jagiellonia Bialystok win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-05 18:49Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-05 18:17Montenegro vs. Armenia: O/U 3.5BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-04 18:24Netherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-03 19:29Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-03 19:11Spread: AC Goianiense (-1.5)BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-01 18:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.1499999925$2.00
10-01 18:32Seattle Sounders FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5BUY0.5099999516$2.00
09-26 17:21Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.998$1.10
09-23 07:29Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect PlayoffsBUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-22 16:07Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect PlayoffsSELL0.999$3.73
09-22 15:38Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect PlayoffsBUY0.77$1.00