0xbc1bcac383ae2855d3da97f77e7e8f5ff7a53b5b
0xbc1bcac383ae2855d3da97f77e7e8f5ff7a53b5b
- Realised P&L
- $75.76
- Volume
- $291.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,349
- Open portfolio
- $190.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,349
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.880 | 1.000 | $99.95 | +$11.95 |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) · Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.650 | 0.900 | $90.00 | +$25.00 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.550 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$54.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.100Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?
- +$1.7kat 0.130Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?
- +$1.2kat 0.140Nets vs. Pistons
- +$908.96at 0.305Magic vs. Timberwolves
- +$853.12at 0.480Warriors vs. Pelicans
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 19:50 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 10-01 18:53 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.7 | $140.00 |
| 09-26 19:04 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 09-26 18:57 | Croatia leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.34 | $68.00 |
| 07-19 21:08 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.409 | $91.00 |
| 07-19 16:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.409 | $40.90 |
| 07-19 15:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.409 | $40.90 |
| 07-19 15:57 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.409 | $100.20 |
| 07-15 17:17 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3625 | $72.50 |
| 07-15 17:15 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5425 | $162.75 |
| 07-14 16:30 | Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.026 | $5.20 |
| 07-14 16:28 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.07 | $10.50 |
| 07-12 12:04 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.389 | $1.0k |
| 07-11 16:26 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.255 | $25.50 |
| 07-11 16:21 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.26 | $52.00 |