quitecatis
0xbc17c81da71b3d85143a3c903ccd0d24c1c5c01c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $32.4k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $51.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$329.56at 0.288Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$93.99at 0.689Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$61.38at 0.147Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?
- +$44.50at 0.495Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
- +$38.22at 0.224Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 15:09 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 10-29 22:05 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.057 | $2.07 |
| 10-29 21:54 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $9.00 |
| 10-29 21:52 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $13.00 |
| 10-25 13:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.87 |
| 10-25 13:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%? | BUY | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 10-25 13:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.32 | $22.72 |
| 10-25 13:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.31 | $8.99 |
| 10-04 22:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 10-04 21:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.119 | $8.49 |
| 10-04 21:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 10-04 21:03 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-04 19:25 | Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5? | BUY | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 10-04 19:23 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $11.55 |
| 10-04 19:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |