0xbc17a2d7d7573009c1d51835e5efe6aa3451288c
0xbc17a2d7d7573009c1d51835e5efe6aa3451288c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.80
- Volume
- $304.43
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $6.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.645 | $1.84 | +$0.84 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.238 | 0.299 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.790 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.655 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? · No | 0.550 | 0.485 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.53at 0.308Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$6.49at 0.442Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$4.71at 0.520SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$3.77at 0.216Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- +$3.58at 0.560Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 07:20 | Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 23:06 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.2379999814 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:04 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 05:44 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:59 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.20799997 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 22:58 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:50 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:28 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 01:40 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:39 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:37 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2169999967 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 10:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 10:27 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:27 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |