Keparo
0xbc1775a8bc4dda029c04bc4976c5612430f6289a
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $734.2k
- Markets traded
- 531
- Open portfolio
- $9.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded531
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.197Trump wins every swing state?
- +$2.0kat 0.517Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
- +$1.8kat 0.256Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
- +$1.6kat 0.270Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?
- +$1.3kat 0.356Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 21:25 | Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.0595606038 | $39.62 |
| 06-23 18:12 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $7.60 |
| 06-18 20:06 | Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.018 | $9.00 |
| 06-18 20:04 | Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.016 | $12.80 |
| 06-12 01:45 | Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.16 | $19.20 |
| 06-12 01:42 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.38 | $4.43 |
| 06-12 01:39 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.36 | $24.80 |
| 06-12 01:15 | Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 06-12 01:08 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 06-12 01:04 | Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.22 | $15.40 |
| 06-12 01:04 | Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 06-12 01:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.19 |
| 06-10 21:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.2930281323 | $45.00 |
| 06-10 21:07 | Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $56.49 |
| 06-10 21:00 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $39.60 |