PolyBot

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Traders

Keparo

0xbc1775a8bc4dda029c04bc4976c5612430f6289a

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$734.2k
Markets traded
531
Open portfolio
$9.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded531
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4490.595$3.6k+$872.69
Blue tsunami in 2026? · Yes0.5060.445$656.33$90.66
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.2720.325$594.10+$96.16
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.6380.685$459.63+$31.37
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5700.545$430.54$19.75
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4120.565$327.70+$88.83
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3340.542$325.50+$125.10
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4110.395$268.59$10.78
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2080.145$257.81$112.50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5650.705$248.16+$49.36
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5950.665$226.10+$23.88
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.2090.240$218.40+$28.43
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3770.325$213.85$34.21
Blue wave in 2026? · Yes0.6510.800$203.21+$37.94
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.3040.250$130.82$28.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 21:25Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?SELL0.0595606038$39.62
06-23 18:12Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.002$7.60
06-18 20:06Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.018$9.00
06-18 20:04Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.016$12.80
06-12 01:45Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.16$19.20
06-12 01:42Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.38$4.43
06-12 01:39Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.36$24.80
06-12 01:15Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?BUY0.61$61.00
06-12 01:08Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?BUY0.53$2.65
06-12 01:04Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?BUY0.22$15.40
06-12 01:04Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?BUY0.22$4.40
06-12 01:00Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?BUY0.54$5.19
06-10 21:30Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?BUY0.2930281323$45.00
06-10 21:07Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.1$56.49
06-10 21:00Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.44$39.60