yildirimayd
0xbc16a1bcd47cc5ae2de9fcb402ed8f1324fef25f
- Realised P&L
- $-57.48
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $85.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.880 | $50.58 | +$0.58 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.410 | $34.50 | −$13.50 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.56at 0.180Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.94at 0.089Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?
- +$0.58at 0.630S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 31?
- +$0.00at 0.070Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
- +$-0.10at 0.997US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 23:25 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5703927467 | $48.00 |
| 07-25 23:24 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $19.81 |
| 07-25 23:24 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9799999628 | $20.00 |
| 07-25 23:16 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999988 | $50.00 |
| 07-24 13:46 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $64.17 |
| 04-19 16:28 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999972 | $50.00 |
| 03-18 17:44 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 03-18 02:23 | Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.992 | $224.77 |
| 03-18 02:23 | Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.993 | $225.00 |
| 03-18 02:18 | Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.992 | $199.80 |
| 03-18 02:18 | Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.993 | $200.00 |
| 03-18 02:15 | Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.00 |
| 03-18 02:15 | Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.00 |
| 03-18 02:14 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 03-18 02:13 | Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.988 | $199.79 |