PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbc0e3b445ce1b9022cd5e2a78cbbe20c77091c3f

Realised P&L
$-171.63
Volume
$72.6k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$16.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0070.002$8.75$31.24
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · Yes0.0130.010$3.85$1.15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18? · Yes0.0100.006$3.00$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 16? · Yes0.0080.001$0.42$6.23
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$5.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$5.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$10.00
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$5.00
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$20.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$4.00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$10.00
Will the match not air? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18?BUY0.01$5.00
09-15 14:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 15?BUY0.001$2.00
09-15 14:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 16?BUY0.003$1.66
09-13 22:42Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?BUY0.0129824736$5.00
09-13 22:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 16?BUY0.0169999999$5.00
09-13 22:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 15?BUY0.001$5.00
09-04 18:43Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$20.00
08-31 21:18Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0059999997$20.00
08-31 21:16Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-31?BUY0.001$2.00
08-24 22:05Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.012$18.46
08-19 22:18Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.013$20.00
07-30 00:44Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.0130000001$4.00
07-30 00:40Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?BUY0.004$5.00
07-29 14:30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$4.00
07-19 21:09Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.0474999914$5.00