0xbc0c353e9E903eD00775B26A692711c85820441c-1774860628960
0xbc0c353e9e903ed00775b26a692711c85820441c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $103.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.753 | 0.345 | $1.5k | −$1.8k |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.813 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$546.72at 0.825Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
- +$458.15at 0.958Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
- +$320.17at 0.946Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
- +$297.35at 0.910Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?
- +$283.78at 0.869Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 12:19 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8127652373 | $1.1k |
| 06-01 12:08 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.1k |
| 05-30 08:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY | 0.965 | $1.9k |
| 05-30 05:40 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7689709372 | $370.69 |
| 05-30 04:59 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $154.00 |
| 05-30 04:59 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2251605917 | $270.19 |
| 05-30 04:58 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.231238125 | $277.49 |
| 05-30 04:58 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.775 | $930.00 |
| 05-29 22:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY | 0.956 | $7.09 |
| 05-25 07:38 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.1k |
| 05-25 05:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY | 0.95 | $45.25 |
| 05-23 06:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | BUY | 0.954 | $624.63 |
| 05-13 16:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.1k |
| 05-12 05:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.1k |
| 05-04 16:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.8k |