HANS44
0xbc058a9354c43c74e7072b65466a1268a220632d
- Realised P&L
- $-411.43
- Volume
- $25.6k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $57.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 50 ETH before 2027? · Yes | 0.397 | 0.115 | $40.52 | −$99.48 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.024 | $8.39 | −$16.61 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.018 | $6.81 | −$28.19 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.036 | $2.08 | −$8.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$315.00at 0.100Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?
- +$59.09at 0.110Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
- +$51.16at 0.518Solana Up or Down - January 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$45.93at 0.303Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$36.40at 0.354Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 13:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 13:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2227408682 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 13:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 03-14 00:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3128503272 | $14.65 |
| 03-13 23:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $9.69 |
| 03-13 23:58 | Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 23:57 | Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 02-01 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 02-01 14:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 01-24 09:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4756973128 | $19.38 |
| 01-24 07:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3696612366 | $102.15 |
| 01-24 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.40 |
| 01-24 07:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $19.48 |
| 01-24 06:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $9.70 |
| 01-24 06:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.179999987 | $9.89 |