0xbbf9b57a0da869af1fa33a265ebf5d9046364f48
0xbbf9b57a0da869af1fa33a265ebf5d9046364f48
- Realised P&L
- $8.10
- Volume
- $65.69
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $26.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.640 | 0.645 | $6.45 | +$0.05 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays · New York Yankees | 0.450 | 0.445 | $5.34 | −$0.06 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians · Chicago White Sox | 0.430 | 0.425 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · San Diego Padres | 0.360 | 0.355 | $4.93 | −$0.07 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Atlanta Braves | 0.340 | 0.325 | $4.78 | −$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.54at 0.527Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
- +$4.54at 0.527Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$4.09at 0.550Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
- +$-5.07at 0.527Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:18 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.36 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 18:45 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.45 | $5.40 |
| 10-02 18:38 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.43 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 18:37 | Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.34 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 20:58 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 20:57 | Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |