Greengrass50
0xbbf605b816a9c33b922eed73dd393f216a0d5dac
- Realised P&L
- $-103.48
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $6.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.505 | $4.86 | −$0.14 |
| Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs · Canadiens | 0.500 | 0.495 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Down | 0.343 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens · Maple Leafs | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Lightning vs. Maple Leafs · Maple Leafs | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Sharks vs. Senators · Sharks | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · No | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.27 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Down | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.89at 0.360Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes
- +$8.89at 0.360Blackhawks vs. Predators
- +$7.50at 0.400Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
- +$7.24at 0.580Flames vs. Kings
- +$6.36at 0.440Maple Leafs vs. Jets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 07:10 | Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 07:07 | Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 04-18 18:07 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.87 | $55.27 |
| 03-15 06:18 | Sharks vs. Senators | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 06:18 | Kings vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 03-09 06:01 | Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.3699999272 | $3.00 |
| 03-09 05:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3528373073 | $1.95 |
| 03-07 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3393213152 | $4.87 |
| 03-07 18:37 | Lightning vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 03-07 18:36 | Canadiens vs. Kings | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 03-04 00:15 | Stars vs. Flames | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 03-04 00:15 | Senators vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 03-01 08:46 | Blue Jackets vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.5599999253 | $3.00 |
| 03-01 08:46 | Blackhawks vs. Utah | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 03-01 00:22 | Senators vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |