Sabarinathan
0xbbf4d9f5078167e354937523c28dd4b4665d3b45
- Realised P&L
- $7.9k
- Volume
- $393.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,503
- Open portfolio
- $506.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,503
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.852 | 0.865 | $434.67 | +$6.30 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.797 | 0.753 | $37.65 | −$2.22 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.161 | 0.065 | $23.34 | −$34.38 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.995 | $7.16 | +$0.32 |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No | 0.020 | 0.011 | $2.10 | −$1.90 |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.032 | $0.94 | −$0.54 |
| Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.010 | $0.70 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$898.97at 0.004Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$881.13at 0.004Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$496.67at 0.494Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$338.36at 0.029Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$298.73at 0.024Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 05:28 | Will White House post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7974 | $39.87 |
| 10-10 17:12 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 10-10 17:11 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.19 |
| 10-10 03:28 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $9.02 |
| 10-09 15:38 | Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0235942857 | $1.65 |
| 10-09 15:38 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0495 | $1.49 |
| 10-09 15:10 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9769383505 | $140.72 |
| 10-09 15:09 | Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9505155421 | $37.61 |
| 10-09 14:06 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $152.87 |
| 10-08 22:07 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.377 | $18.85 |
| 10-07 15:29 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 10-07 15:28 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $18.72 |
| 10-07 15:18 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.069 | $6.90 |
| 10-07 14:54 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 10-07 14:39 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.92 |