PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sumpfbartholomew

0xbbf37a08c60e418bea0226c580ca917548a384fc

Realised P&L
$-5.30
Volume
$681.28
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$23.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 20:18Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.0699999897$6.00
08-13 09:20Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.1425682974$20.00
08-13 09:19Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.3383084414$10.00
08-13 09:13Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.5499999993$40.00
06-19 11:51Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?BUY0.25$1.00
06-19 11:50Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
06-19 11:49Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.7899999866$10.00
06-19 11:46 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.549999956$5.00
06-14 16:25Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?SELL0.002$0.14
06-14 16:25Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?SELL0.996$25.01
06-13 15:28Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3639344177$12.00
06-13 15:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.7899999866$10.00
06-13 15:17Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.8199999923$15.00
06-13 15:17Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.8869999138$10.00
06-13 10:47Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.7564632823$19.00