PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xoaolouB

0xbbede2be63df8eb78f37d1edc59299e957cee4a9

Realised P&L
$-799.89
Volume
$58.2k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$4.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3610.045$2.07−$14.56
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0320.015$1.87−$2.11
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.6900.022$0.45−$13.35
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$3.67
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$11.32
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00−$21.46
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00−$10.45
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00−$239.86
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$17.68
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$15.13
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$4.90
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00−$21.48
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00−$15.60
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$22.55
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 02:20Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?SELL0.1208690318$11.82
07-19 12:33Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.2574014803$12.87
07-19 12:32Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.139$13.90
07-06 01:52Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.071$8.72
07-06 01:51Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.79$19.75
07-06 01:51Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.123$2.78
07-06 01:50Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.032$7.87
07-06 01:50Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.799$7.99
07-06 01:49Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.104$21.59
07-06 01:49Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.047$17.28
07-06 01:49Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.352$20.42
01-05 08:09Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.055$22.00
01-05 08:08Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.1$49.08
01-05 08:08Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.24$19.20
01-05 08:08Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.49$4.90