xoaolouB
0xbbede2be63df8eb78f37d1edc59299e957cee4a9
- Realised P&L
- $-799.89
- Volume
- $58.2k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $4.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$148.80at 0.627Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$98.30at 0.017Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
- +$67.99at 0.618Will FactSet Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$67.73at 0.511Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$66.67at 0.600Heat vs. Magic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 02:20 | Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1208690318 | $11.82 |
| 07-19 12:33 | Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2574014803 | $12.87 |
| 07-19 12:32 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.139 | $13.90 |
| 07-06 01:52 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.071 | $8.72 |
| 07-06 01:51 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $19.75 |
| 07-06 01:51 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.123 | $2.78 |
| 07-06 01:50 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.032 | $7.87 |
| 07-06 01:50 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.799 | $7.99 |
| 07-06 01:49 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.104 | $21.59 |
| 07-06 01:49 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.047 | $17.28 |
| 07-06 01:49 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.352 | $20.42 |
| 01-05 08:09 | Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.055 | $22.00 |
| 01-05 08:08 | Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1 | $49.08 |
| 01-05 08:08 | Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $19.20 |
| 01-05 08:08 | Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |