anqynnv
0xbbe8a7df9c4543af9b2da16ce4693d3d6dc6bfbd
- Realised P&L
- $19.39
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $136.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.970 | $64.62 | +$1.97 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No | 0.962 | 0.960 | $62.24 | −$0.16 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? · Yes | 0.944 | 0.141 | $9.39 | −$53.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.75at 0.938Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
- +$2.60at 0.948Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
- +$2.29at 0.965Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$1.70at 0.944Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.45at 0.940Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 10:46 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.91 |
| 04-08 08:29 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.972 | $19.44 |