filthymudeok
0xbbe3fb94608928651123d69231c0213ef6e75b92
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $249.8k
- Markets traded
- 277
- Open portfolio
- $549.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded277
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.683Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?
- +$675.01at 0.535Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$220.22at 0.612Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?
- +$190.00at 0.050US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$175.02at 0.835Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.3079574373 | $13.75 |
| 08-04 11:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $10.77 |
| 08-04 11:24 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | BUY | 0.0341632032 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 11:24 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.2189577444 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 19:01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 19:01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.005 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 16:00 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $11.75 |
| 08-03 09:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2668854389 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 09:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0730593607 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 09:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999961 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 06:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 06:55 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.019349818 | $3.72 |
| 08-02 12:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2239999833 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 12:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4638310323 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 12:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $11.66 |