PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

filthymudeok

0xbbe3fb94608928651123d69231c0213ef6e75b92

Realised P&L
$-5.2k
Volume
$249.8k
Markets traded
277
Open portfolio
$549.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded277
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.1930.174$27.11$2.89
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? · No0.6570.743$22.59+$2.59
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.045$22.50$7.50
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.6150.685$22.29+$2.29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.455$21.16+$1.16
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.3630.345$19.00$1.00
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6850.645$18.83$1.17
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.4550.405$17.80$2.20
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.3820.675$17.66+$7.66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4690.405$17.27$2.73
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2670.225$16.86$3.14
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.5020.485$16.84$0.60
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.6600.545$16.52$3.48
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? · No0.4100.655$15.98+$5.98
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · No0.6300.780$12.38+$2.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 11:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.3079574373$13.75
08-04 11:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.14$10.77
08-04 11:240 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?BUY0.0341632032$10.00
08-04 11:24Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.2189577444$10.00
08-03 19:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.001$20.00
08-03 19:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.005$20.00
08-03 16:00Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.47$11.75
08-03 09:56US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.2668854389$20.00
08-03 09:56US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0730593607$20.00
08-03 09:56US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.4299999961$20.00
08-03 06:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
08-03 06:55US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?SELL0.019349818$3.72
08-02 12:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.2239999833$10.00
08-02 12:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.4638310323$10.00
08-02 12:56US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.28$11.66