iiVii10
0xbbdf1ba45f5a08d5cc86cf7c54bfc19bfbcb1191
- Realised P&L
- $-916.08
- Volume
- $42.4k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $57.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.00at 0.880Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
- +$57.68at 0.823US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
- +$41.60at 0.920Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?
- +$38.70at 0.355Will Solana dip to $120 in November?
- +$30.00at 0.940Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-10 17:54 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.8855867727 | $779.32 |
| 02-10 11:28 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 02-06 16:38 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 February 2-8? | BUY | 0.995 | $497.50 |
| 01-26 16:30 | Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.63 |
| 01-26 16:28 | Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? | SELL | 0.86 | $689.32 |
| 01-23 09:17 | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.9809277376 | $862.39 |
| 01-09 10:48 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday? | BUY | 0.997 | $797.60 |
| 12-19 11:50 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | SELL | 0.64 | $320.00 |
| 12-05 22:28 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 12-05 22:26 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | BUY | 0.82 | $185.32 |
| 12-05 22:25 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | SELL | 0.18 | $24.66 |
| 12-05 22:25 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | SELL | 0.18 | $227.34 |
| 11-30 20:55 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30? | BUY | 0.43 | $12.90 |
| 11-29 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $3.50 |
| 11-29 16:14 | Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |