bbbbqqqq
0xbbd54a0174c1d20a93834e350c38c95b2f41f500
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $242.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.118 | $219.23 | −$1.4k |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.972 | $22.92 | +$1.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$232.27at 0.560Stars vs. Jets
- +$45.92at 0.521Ripple above $2.40 on December 20?
- +$39.77at 0.430Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
- +$39.00at 0.220Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
- +$38.22at 0.590Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 08:21 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $21.00 |
| 05-02 16:13 | Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |
| 04-25 11:57 | Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9679999957 | $19.93 |
| 01-13 11:04 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8860329671 | $665.30 |
| 01-09 13:28 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8914055196 | $337.53 |
| 01-09 13:27 | Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.973 | $28.55 |
| 01-09 13:27 | Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.35 | $21.94 |
| 01-08 09:20 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8938950627 | $1.6k |
| 01-06 16:34 | Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.2795709045 | $17.53 |
| 01-06 16:34 | Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.92 | $27.00 |
| 12-11 11:16 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9709999985 | $15.28 |
| 12-03 21:18 | Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? | BUY | 0.9699998274 | $1.18 |
| 12-03 21:18 | Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? | BUY | 0.9699999664 | $15.00 |
| 12-03 21:17 | Will Stable launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.9819999387 | $15.00 |
| 12-03 21:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.984999959 | $15.00 |